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Southeast vs. Great Lakes Comparative Trends Analysis: Population Growth and Change, 1958-2019 Introduction ![]() Southeast: 2019 Population = 84,902,403 2019 Percent of U.S. = 25.9% Great Lakes: 2019 Population = 46,902,431 2019 Percent of U.S. = 14.3% Attracting and retaining people to live, work, raise a family, and retire underlies the economic vitality of any region. Population growth is both a cause--and a consequence--of economic growth. Patterns of population growth and change reflect differences among regions to attract and retain people both as producers and consumers in their economy. The following graphs offer a broad overview of trends in the pattern of population growth and change of the Southeast with comparisons to the Great Lakes and the nation at large. This analysis features alternative approaches toward discussing, diagnosing and comparing the Southeast vs. the Great Lakes' population growth over 1958-2019. The data used are those compiled by the Regional Income and Product Divisions of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce. Population, 1958-2019 ![]() Figure 1. Figure 1 tracks the Southeast's and the Great Lakes' annual population for the period 1958-2019 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 62-year period, the Southeast's population rose from 37,435,000 in 1958 to 84,902,403 in 2019, for a net gain of 47,467,403, or 126.8%. In comparison, the Great Lakes' population advanced from 35,578,000 in 1958 to 46,902,431 in 2019, for a net gain of 11,324,431, or 31.8%. NOTE: The state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities. Population Indices (1958=100): 1958-2019 ![]() Figure 2. Figure 2 shows the Southeast's population growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with the Great Lakes, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's population in 1958 as a base figure of 100, and the populations in later years as a percentage of the 1958 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in population growth between regions that may differ vastly in size. The Southeast's overall population growth was 126.8% over 1958-2019 outpaced the Great Lakes' increase of 31.8%, and topped the United States' increase of 88.5%. Population as a Percent of the United States Total: 1958-2019 ![]() Figure 3. Another interesting and insightful way of highlighting the population growth of the Southeast and the Great Lakes is to trace their individual percentage contributions to the United States' total population over time, as shown in Figure 3. A rising share means a region's population grew faster, or declined less, than the United States' population, while a declining share shows they grew more slowly. In 1958, the Southeast's population totaled 21.5% of the United States' population, while in 2019 it equated to 25.9% thereby yielding a +4.4% share-shift. Similarly, in 1958, the Great Lakes' population accounted for 20.4% of the United States' population, while in 2019 it accounted for 14.3%, resulting in a -6.1% share-shift.
Southeast Population: Annual Percent Change, 1959-2019 ![]() Figure 4. Figure 4 shows the short-run pattern of the Southeast's population growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1959-2019. The average annual percent change for the entire 61-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average. On average, the Southeast's population grew at an annual rate of 1.35% over 1959-2019. The Southeast posted its highest growth in 1971 (2.36%) and posted its lowest growth in 2019 (0.72%). In 2019, the Southeast's population grew by 0.72% Southeast Population: Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1959-2019 ![]() Figure 5. Over the past six decades some BEA regions have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 5 again traces the annual percent change in the Southeast's population since 1959, but this time they are displayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1960s, 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and 2010-2019. During the 1960s, the Southeast's annual population growth rate averaged 1.32%. It averaged 1.81% during the 1970s, 1.23% in the 1980s, 1.56% throughout the 1990s, 1.27% during the 2000s, and 0.88% thus far this decade (2010 to 2019). Population Growth: Average Annual Percent Change by Decade ![]() Figure 6. Figure 6 compares the decade average growth rates for the Southeast noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for the Great Lakes and the nation. As the chart reveals, the Southeast's average annual population growth exceeded the Great Lakes' average throughout the 1960s (1.32% vs. 1.06%), led the Great Lakes' average throughout the 1970s (1.81% vs. 0.42%), registered above the Great Lakes' average throughout the 1980s (1.23% vs. 0.06%), led the Great Lakes' average during the 1990s (1.56% vs. 0.72%), recorded above the Great Lakes' average throughout the 2000s (1.27% vs. 0.30%), and outperformed the Great Lakes' average over the 10 year period of the last decade, 2010-2019 (0.88% vs. 0.12%). Finally, relative to nationwide population growth trends, the Southeast outperformed the nation in the 1960s (1.32% vs. 1.29%), recorded above the nation throughout the 1970s (1.81% vs. 1.10%), outperformed the nation over the 1980s (1.23% vs. 0.95%), topped the nation over the 1990s (1.56% vs. 1.23%), surpassed the nation in the 2000s (1.27% vs. 0.95%), and surpassed the nation over 2010-2019 (0.88% vs. 0.68%).
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