Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Wholesale Trade Earnings Growth
Across States
Real* Wholesale Trade
Earnings Growth
State vs Nationwide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Wholesale Trade
Earnings Growth
U.S.:
2010-2022 = 3.94%
2022 = 9.59%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real wholesale trade earnings growth across all 51 states. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this United States Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real wholesale trade earnings growth of all 51 states over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Wholesale Trade
Earnings Growth
State vs Nationwide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Wholesale Trade
Earnings Growth
U.S.:
2010-2022 = 3.94%
2022 = 9.59%
This figure displays the 51 states of the United States as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real wholesale trade earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those states whose long-term real wholesale trade earnings growth exceeded the nationwide average of 3.94%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 3.94% on the vertical axis. State whose long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate trailed the nationwide average (3.94%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 22 states surpassed the nationwide average over 2010-2022, while 29 states fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 27 states whose most recent (2022) real wholesale trade earnings growth rate exceeded the nationwide average (9.59%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 24 states whose real wholesale trade earnings growth over 2022 trailed the nationwide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 51 states corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective nationwide averages of 3.94% over 2010-2022 and 9.59% over 2022:
Leading states () (top-right quadrant)...are states whose average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate surpassed the nationwide average both long-term (3.94%) and near-term (9.59%).
Slipping states () (top-left quadrant)...are states whose long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate exceeded the nationwide average (3.94%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the the United States average (9.59%).
Gaining states () (bottom-right quadrant)...are states whose long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate fell below the nationwide average (3.94%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (9.59%) nationwide.
Lagging states () (bottom-left quadrant)...are states whose average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate fell under the nationwide average both long-term (3.94%) and near-term (9.59%).
   
 
Summary of United States' 51 State Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(9.59%)
Above
(9.59%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(3.94%)
6
16
22
Below
(3.94%)
18
11
29
 
24
27
51
 
   
Leading States
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading States
white dot
U.S.:
2010-2022 = 3.94%
2022 = 9.59%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the United States states classified as Leading. These states surpassed the United States' average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 3.94%) as well as near-term (2022 = 9.59%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of the United States' 51 states, 16 (31%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those states ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping States
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping States
U.S.:
2010-2022 = 3.94%
2022 = 9.59%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 6 United States states classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate outpaced the average nationwide (2010-2022 = 3.94%), while they trailed the nationwide average near-term (2022 = 9.59%). Again, each state is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 6 (12%) of the United States' 51 states are classified as Slipping (). Those states ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining States
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining States
white dot
U.S.:
2010-2022 = 3.94%
2022 = 9.59%
This figure shows the distribution of the 11 United States states classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate posted below the average nationwide (2010-2022 = 3.94%), while they outpaced the United States' average near-term (2022 = 9.59%). Again, each state is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of the United States' 51 states, 22% (11) are featured as Gaining (). Those states ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging States
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging States
white dot
U.S.:
2010-2022 = 3.94%
2022 = 9.59%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 18 United States states classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These states trailed the nationwide average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 3.94%) as well as near-term (2022 = 9.59%). Again, each state is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real wholesale trade earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
35% of the United States' states, 18 of 51, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those states ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
United States
Real* Wholesale Trade Earnings Growth
State vs. Nationwide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading States
 
19
4.35
 
3
12.91
13,371,195
 
20
4.11
 
13
11.08
5,148,922
 
8
5.27
 
19
10.35
14,910,625
 
1
7.33
 
16
10.72
3,753,176
 
13
4.85
 
7
12.30
13,970,916
 
9
5.22
 
20
10.11
1,708,939
 
14
4.79
 
9
11.80
4,652,171
 
2
5.76
 
12
11.50
4,686,963
 
4
5.42
 
15
10.77
22,908,574
 
16
4.52
 
14
10.92
5,431,944
 
7
5.28
 
2
13.71
8,516,848
 
3
5.57
 
21
10.04
2,132,329
 
18
4.35
 
10
11.58
14,314,833
 
12
5.02
 
1
15.72
77,733,771
 
15
4.61
 
27
9.63
16,893,741
 
17
4.44
 
17
10.53
13,695,689
Slipping States
 
10
5.22
 
47
6.83
987,763
 
5
5.33
 
31
8.63
45,384,565
 
21
3.98
 
41
7.49
19,404,130
 
22
3.98
 
28
9.42
13,833,992
 
11
5.08
 
34
8.18
2,458,026
 
6
5.30
 
37
8.00
6,331,727
Gaining States
 
43
2.71
 
8
12.09
8,859,219
 
49
1.90
 
4
12.83
1,418,052
 
29
3.70
 
24
9.92
25,540,625
 
32
3.54
 
22
9.98
38,310,438
 
33
3.53
 
18
10.40
6,825,351
 
27
3.76
 
26
9.64
7,377,564
 
31
3.63
 
5
12.65
4,629,383
 
47
2.26
 
23
9.93
1,744,819
 
24
3.86
 
6
12.36
1,985,443
 
34
3.49
 
25
9.78
14,224,731
 
50
1.86
 
11
11.51
707,445
Lagging States
 
23
3.87
 
29
9.19
8,138,234
 
48
2.23
 
45
6.86
575,760
 
28
3.76
 
39
7.60
82,264,226
 
39
3.06
 
36
8.07
1,590,495
 
45
2.62
 
42
7.39
6,190,588
 
37
3.12
 
46
6.83
7,233,442
 
30
3.63
 
50
5.70
2,019,006
 
46
2.35
 
51
2.84
9,797,054
 
36
3.14
 
32
8.49
18,550,835
 
25
3.81
 
33
8.35
17,616,755
 
35
3.46
 
43
7.24
3,241,917
 
42
2.72
 
38
7.90
28,609,603
 
41
2.74
 
49
5.89
39,582,877
 
26
3.81
 
30
8.64
25,688,041
 
38
3.11
 
48
6.34
8,722,957
 
44
2.69
 
44
7.08
24,698,953
 
40
2.89
 
35
8.09
873,046
 
51
1.52
 
40
7.60
1,707,302
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3.94
 
9.59
710,955,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_SA1600N_610600_LSGL
 
   
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