Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Educational Services Employment Growth
Across States
Educational Services
Employment Growth
State vs Nationwide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Educational Services
Employment Growth
U.S.:
2010-2022 = 1.65%
2022 = 6.24%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of educational services employment growth across all 51 states. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this United States Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the educational services employment growth of all 51 states over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Educational Services
Employment Growth
State vs Nationwide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Educational Services
Employment Growth
U.S.:
2010-2022 = 1.65%
2022 = 6.24%
This figure displays the 51 states of the United States as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual educational services employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the educational services employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those states whose long-term educational services employment growth exceeded the nationwide average of 1.65%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 1.65% on the vertical axis. State whose long-term average annual educational services employment growth rate trailed the nationwide average (1.65%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 20 states surpassed the nationwide average over 2010-2022, while 31 states fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 26 states whose most recent (2022) educational services employment growth rate exceeded the nationwide average (6.24%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 25 states whose educational services employment growth over 2022 trailed the nationwide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 51 states corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective nationwide averages of 1.65% over 2010-2022 and 6.24% over 2022:
Leading states () (top-right quadrant)...are states whose average annual educational services employment growth rate surpassed the nationwide average both long-term (1.65%) and near-term (6.24%).
Slipping states () (top-left quadrant)...are states whose long-term average annual educational services employment growth rate exceeded the nationwide average (1.65%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the the United States average (6.24%).
Gaining states () (bottom-right quadrant)...are states whose long-term average annual educational services employment growth rate fell below the nationwide average (1.65%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (6.24%) nationwide.
Lagging states () (bottom-left quadrant)...are states whose average annual educational services employment growth rate fell under the nationwide average both long-term (1.65%) and near-term (6.24%).
   
 
Summary of United States' 51 State Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(6.24%)
Above
(6.24%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(1.65%)
7
13
20
Below
(1.65%)
18
13
31
 
25
26
51
 
   
Leading States
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading States
white dot
U.S.:
2010-2022 = 1.65%
2022 = 6.24%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the United States states classified as Leading. These states surpassed the United States' average annual educational services employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 1.65%) as well as near-term (2022 = 6.24%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual educational services employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of the United States' 51 states, 13 (25%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those states ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping States
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping States
U.S.:
2010-2022 = 1.65%
2022 = 6.24%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 7 United States states classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual educational services employment growth rate outpaced the average nationwide (2010-2022 = 1.65%), while they trailed the nationwide average near-term (2022 = 6.24%). Again, each state is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual educational services employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 7 (14%) of the United States' 51 states are classified as Slipping (). Those states ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining States
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining States
white dot
U.S.:
2010-2022 = 1.65%
2022 = 6.24%
This figure shows the distribution of the 13 United States states classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual educational services employment growth rate posted below the average nationwide (2010-2022 = 1.65%), while they outpaced the United States' average near-term (2022 = 6.24%). Again, each state is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual educational services employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of the United States' 51 states, 25% (13) are featured as Gaining (). Those states ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging States
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging States
white dot
U.S.:
2010-2022 = 1.65%
2022 = 6.24%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 18 United States states classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These states trailed the nationwide average annual educational services employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 1.65%) as well as near-term (2022 = 6.24%). Again, each state is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual educational services employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
35% of the United States' states, 18 of 51, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those states ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
United States
Educational Services Employment Growth
State vs. Nationwide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading States
 
15
2.06
 
13
7.25
554,586
 
6
3.08
 
18
6.88
83,722
 
20
1.68
 
20
6.72
93,478
 
8
2.66
 
17
6.94
260,535
 
10
2.55
 
14
7.24
141,074
 
1
5.09
 
3
8.70
26,229
 
17
2.01
 
10
7.44
22,776
 
16
2.01
 
11
7.36
95,612
 
2
4.81
 
12
7.30
23,945
 
13
2.26
 
4
8.11
7,184
 
12
2.28
 
8
7.71
49,296
 
4
3.53
 
15
7.22
324,841
 
7
2.78
 
2
9.31
4,744
Slipping States
 
5
3.17
 
28
6.16
92,109
 
11
2.54
 
43
4.66
62,217
 
14
2.21
 
37
5.40
10,118
 
19
1.86
 
27
6.20
146,389
 
18
1.95
 
48
3.86
33,360
 
9
2.65
 
30
5.82
90,259
 
3
4.03
 
29
6.13
77,750
Gaining States
 
34
0.84
 
16
7.22
5,721
 
21
1.63
 
24
6.41
23,608
 
41
0.65
 
1
9.60
20,474
 
28
1.26
 
26
6.25
88,246
 
47
0.25
 
6
7.87
102,156
 
45
0.31
 
21
6.64
24,174
 
27
1.34
 
22
6.63
140,611
 
38
0.69
 
7
7.79
17,553
 
48
0.23
 
19
6.77
146,698
 
50
0.01
 
23
6.59
50,885
 
43
0.58
 
9
7.54
17,805
 
22
1.56
 
5
8.04
82,243
 
40
0.65
 
25
6.31
12,919
Lagging States
 
33
0.85
 
41
5.26
40,314
 
49
0.06
 
33
5.66
9,169
 
46
0.29
 
50
3.57
54,388
 
36
0.81
 
35
5.61
209,753
 
51
-0.12
 
47
4.09
42,971
 
31
1.13
 
49
3.77
28,790
 
44
0.52
 
51
3.34
39,309
 
24
1.50
 
40
5.30
109,076
 
26
1.40
 
34
5.62
253,592
 
37
0.80
 
32
5.68
90,674
 
35
0.82
 
44
4.55
24,777
 
25
1.47
 
42
4.93
32,514
 
30
1.18
 
31
5.69
480,451
 
32
1.12
 
39
5.30
308,846
 
29
1.25
 
38
5.35
33,121
 
42
0.60
 
36
5.40
10,689
 
23
1.54
 
45
4.46
113,641
 
39
0.68
 
46
4.31
70,308
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1.65
 
6.24
4,885,700
November 2023
REAP_PI_SA1500N_511500_LSGL
 
   
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